Air Force
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 89.4192Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Merrimack 21- 6 907 H San Jose St MW ( 7- 5, 91.8) 7-27 914 A Baylor B12 ( 8- 4, 95.0) 3-31 928 A Wyoming MW ( 3- 9, 89.6) 19-31 1005 H Navy American ( 8- 3, 92.9) 7-34 1012 A New Mexico MW ( 5- 7, 89.4) 37-52 1019 H Colorado St MW ( 8- 4, 92.0) 13-21 1102 A Army American (11- 1, 95.6) 3-20 1109 H Fresno St MW ( 6- 6, 91.2) 36-28 1116 H Oregon St P12 ( 5- 7, 90.1) 28- 0 1123 A Nevada MW ( 3-10, 88.7) 22-19 1130 A San Diego St MW ( 3- 9, 86.9) 31-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
907 H San Jose St 7-27 -20 -1 - -3.55
914 A Baylor 3-31 -28 -7 0.00
928 A Wyoming 19-31 -12 -1 - -3.93
1005 H Navy 7-34 -27 -3 - -2.39
1012 A New Mexico 37-52 -15 -1 -- -4.08
1019 H Colorado St 13-21 -8 -2 - -3.28
1102 A Army 3-20 -17 -7 0.00
1109 H Fresno St 36-28 8 -1 ++ 5.84
1116 H Oregon St 28- 0 28 0 ++ 4.74
1123 A Nevada 22-19 3 0 + 3.22
1130 A San Diego St 31-20 11 2 + 3.42
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1012 A New Mexico 37-52 -15 -1 -- -4.08 907 H San Jose St 7-27 -20 -1 - -3.55 928 A Wyoming 19-31 -12 -1 - -3.93 1005 H Navy 7-34 -27 -3 - -2.39 1019 H Colorado St 13-21 -8 -2 - -3.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1109 H Fresno St 36-28 8 -1 ++ 5.84 1116 H Oregon St 28- 0 28 0 ++ 4.74 1123 A Nevada 22-19 3 0 + 3.22 1130 A San Diego St 31-20 11 2 + 3.42 |
Air Force Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | ||
| California | California | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | California | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | SMU | |
| Stanford | Stanford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stanford | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Va Tech | Va Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Ea Carolina | |
| Fla Atlantic | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Memphis | Memphis | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Memphis | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | No Texas | |
| Rice | Air Force | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Air Force | |
| So Florida | So Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Florida | |
| Temple | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Air Force | |
| Tulane | Tulane | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| UAB | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Air Force | |
| UTSA | UTSA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UTSA | |
| Arizona | Arizona | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| BYU | BYU | BYU 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Houston | Houston | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Houston | |
| Iowa St | Iowa St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Iowa St | |
| Kansas | Kansas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kansas | |
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oklahoma St | |
| TCU | TCU | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Utah | |
| We Virginia | We Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | We Virginia | |
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Minnesota | |
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UCLA | |
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Kennesaw St | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Liberty | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| La Tech | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Middle Tenn | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| NM St | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Air Force | |
| SHouston St | SHouston St | SHouston St | ||
| UTEP | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| We Kentucky | We Kentucky | We Kentucky | ||
| UMass | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Ball St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Bowl. Green | Bowl. Green | Bowl. Green | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Cen Michigan | Air Force | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Air Force | |
| Ea Michigan | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Kent State | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| MiamiOH | MiamiOH | MiamiOH | ||
| No Illinois | No Illinois | No Illinois | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| We Michigan | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Hawaii | Hawaii | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Hawaii | |
| Nevada | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) | UNLV | |
| Utah St | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Air Force | |
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Wash St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | App St | App St | ||
| Arkansas State | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | Coastal Car | ||
| Georgia So | Georgia So | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Georgia So | |
| Georgia St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| So Miss | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| So Alabama | So Alabama | So Alabama | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| La-Monroe | La-Monroe | La-Monroe |
PowerWise = 32
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H San Jose St ( 7- 5, 91.8) 7-27 -8.12 10.13 -0.91 1.10 -9.94
0 A Baylor ( 8- 4, 95.0) 3-31 -4.88 13.38 0.91 1.10 -4.37
0 A Wyoming ( 3- 9, 89.6) 19-31 -10.31 7.94 0.91 1.10 -10.35
0 H Navy ( 8- 3, 92.9) 7-34 -6.97 11.29 -0.91 1.10 -8.66
0 A New Mexico ( 5- 7, 89.4) 37-52 -10.46 7.79 0.91 1.10 -10.52
0 H Colorado St ( 8- 4, 92.0) 13-21 -7.85 10.40 -0.91 1.10 -9.64
0 A Army (11- 1, 95.6) 3-20 -4.34 13.92 0.91 1.10 -3.78
0 H Fresno St ( 6- 6, 91.2) 36-28 -8.74 9.52 -0.91 1.10 9.48
0 H Oregon St ( 5- 7, 90.1) 28- 0 -9.84 8.42 -0.91 1.10 8.27
0 A Nevada ( 3-10, 88.7) 22-19 -11.16 7.09 0.91 1.10 8.80
0 A San Diego St ( 3- 9, 86.9) 31-20 -12.97 5.29 0.91 1.10 6.82
------
-23.89
|
winning pts = 33.3661 losing points = -57.2546
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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